If the oil doesn't flow than outside actors would intervene but with that stated Western States are heavily demilitarized
The UK struggled taking back the Falkland Islands in the 1980s due to how much the navy had been scrapped
When the USA complains about Western defense bending they are 100% correct
But than again do they really want French, British, German and other military actors with their own national interests being active
In Dune there is a substance called milange or the space which is the power source for everything in regards to technology and space travel
With out the spice interstellar civilization is impossible
It an analogy of humanities dependency on oil
And the lengths we will go to keep it secure