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The Future of Far East Asia

Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley
2 min readFeb 26, 2024

For the Far East, the future is incredibly volatile, with the regional and great powers having to manage the decline of two great powers.

The first is the United States of America, which is becoming increasingly disinterested in global geopolitical security and being the global policeman.

The second biggest issue has to be China managing Chinese aspirations to become the hegemony of the Far East and possibly managing China’s decline, which could lash out at surrounding powers to distract the Chinese domestic public.

Map of China and Taiwan

China, due to the impact of the one-child policy, is facing a terminal demographic decline due to its population not having enough children to replace its current population of around 1.4 billion.

It is expected that the Chinese population will go from that number to as low as 500 million by the end of the 21st century, and this will lead to massive pressures on the internal political system, which could see the collapse of China as a modern state.

This doesn’t mean the end of China, but it will mean the end of China as we currently understand it.

It could mean the end of Communist China, but the future is unclear, and the answers will be revealed over the next ten years.

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Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley
Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley

Written by Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley

I have been writing from 2014 to the present day; my writing is focused on history, politics, culture, geopolitics and other related topics.

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