Ukraine War Moldova Flashpoint

2 min readJul 24, 2023

It is possible, though possibly not feasible, for the Russians to launch a two-pronged offensive from Moldova and through Belarus with the goal of taking the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv.

The Russians are troops stationed in Transnistria since 1992.

This plan could be unfeasible due to the Russian performance throughout its invasion of Ukraine directly in February 2022; the Russians have been performing the same effectiveness expected of the Monty Python comedy group in terms of effectiveness.

With the poor performance of the Russian military is now possible that the Ukraine army may retake the Crimea peninsula from the Russian Federation, which was unincorporated into Russia in 2014.

Should the Ukrainians succeed in this endeavour, we could see the escalation of the conflict.

It is still improbable that Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia, would use tactical nukes on Ukraine.

It is even debated whether Russia’s nuclear arsenal which is Russia is the legacy of the Cold War period from 1945 to 1989. The Cold War started after the Second World War from 1939 to 1945.

It was a geostrategic conflict that incorporated proxy wars and the development of nuclear technology between the two great superpowers, the Soviet Union and the United States of America.

The conclusion of the Cold War saw the Soviet Union defeated and its successor state Russian Federation, the control of the old nuclear arsenal. Due to Russia’s nuclear age weapons and lack of technical expertise, the nuclear deterrent may be a paper tiger.

This means that in the long run, this war that the Ukrainians have been fighting since 2014 is far from over, and the only way the war may truly end is if Vladimir Putin decides to end this war.

Also, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is willing to give Russia its pound of flesh regarding territory.

The Ukrainian government aimed to defeat the Russian military and push all the forces outside of Ukrainian territory before the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and to restore the old borders of Ukraine.

However, pursuing this may alienate its international backers. Without the material and financial support from its supporters in the West, they could see the water turning from Ukrainians from the advantage towards an environment more favourable to the Russians.